Whether it is students using it to do their homework or creating
works of art comparable to Picasso prepared in a flash, the news is full
of stories about ChatGTP or similar AI systems, and their seemingly
limitless powers. But what does this mean for travel? And could we start
to see the impact soon?
Simon Goddard, CIO of travel search and booking technology
provider Vibe, believes that whilst ChatGPT is a significant step
forward for artificial intelligence, any major impact could still be a
long way off yet.
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“I’d urge everyone in travel to try and plan a weekend
break or family holiday using ChatGPT. For sure this is much better than
anything to date and the potential applications are enormous, but for
now don’t believe the hype: what you’re seeing in the news won’t be a
reality in travel for a while yet – and to some extent the human element
will never be 100% replaced.”
Aside
from a need for the software to evolve further, Vibe – which is
UK-based but has clients all around the world – highlights five
important factors that mean the roll out of ChatGPT in the travel space
will be slower than perhaps some estimate.
Barriers to entry
Firstly because of a massive barrier to entry in the form of cost
that will exclude all but the very biggest of travel
companies. Currently only mega-businesses have the R&D budgets and
computing power to make true AI possible. For example, Microsoft is set
to invest US$10 billion in OpenAI as part of a funding round that would
value the company at $US29 billion.
No personalisation
Secondly because without access to personalised data about the user,
ChatGPT (or other AI for that fact) can’t recommend anything actually
personalised – meaning that everyone gets offered the same results
regardless of age, gender, location or multiple other basic factors that
would be necessary to tailor results.
In travel this is crucial as most good travel agents know their top
clients personally. For example, they can build on previous trip
knowledge to recommend places and properties that are immediately suited
to the traveller.
Out-of-date data
More advanced factors such as budget, ages of children, birthday
milestones and so on would all add further to planning the perfect
holiday.
When it comes to travel, as opposed to picking a birthday present or
recommending a restaurant, there’s also still too much risk around
getting basic but essential data wrong.
For example, imagine if AI gives wrong information on what
vaccinations are required for a trip or incorrect advice on visas and
immigration rules? Or doesn’t allow enough time for a stopover resulting
in missed flights.
An additional problem is that currently Chat GPT only knows
about information available until 2021 – and more than ever we’re
now acutely aware that geopolitics, terrorism, pandemics and disasters
can make whole regions no-go areas overnight.
This means human checks are necessary and that not only defeats the
object of using ChatGPT, but it also undermines confidence which in turn
reduces uptake until it can have less lag time on knowing about
‘current’ affairs.
Regulation needed
Serious concerns also exist that any at-scale provider who offers an
affordable version would monetise this by proving biased results to lead
people to their adverts or products.
ChatGPT is now exploring a subscription model for revenue generation,
but it is difficult see regular consumers paying for yet another
monthly subscription on top of Netflix and countless others.
More likely is that Google or Microsoft Bing will take full advantage of
more lucrative advertising models with their offering, especially as
these are better aligned with their search engine commercial models.
At the moment, we understand when adverts are presented to us
in search engine results, but these lines could become blurred in the
context of an AI response and regulation would be needed.
Privacy concerns
There are also some potential data privacy challenges presented by
this development. AI at this level is going require off-device
processing for some time yet. This means that any input, be it text or
voice, is going to be sent somewhere to be understood and a response
generated.
This opens up serious questions about privacy as these communications
will contain much more personal information than asking Siri for
directions or Alexa to turn on the living room lights.
As a final but perhaps very important barrier to the update of
ChatGPT in travel, Goddard points to one very big failing: “Right now
the tools don’t always lead people to options that are bookable. At this
time, ChatGPT only really knows about directing people to big OTAs such
as Booking.com or Expedia – great for them, but not the smaller players.
“If the biggies don’t have the product, then ChatGPT simply says ‘use
a travel agency’ and there’s no deep links to actual bookable options
or images. Ultimately, we’re all running businesses here, so if we can’t
monetise it then what use is this to us?”.
In conclusion Goddard sums up by saying, “The future just got
brighter for sure and it’s definitely fun to mess around with, but
ChatGPT and travel remains just that still: something in the future.”