Travel TrendsForwardKeys data show contrasting trajectories of Chinese and Japanese tourism recovery.

28 weeks later, who is recovering faster in travel?

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Chinese tourism recovery is regaining at a rapid pace in Q3, with the UAE surfacing as top destination for Chinese outbound travellers.
Chinese tourism recovery is regaining at a rapid pace in Q3, with the UAE surfacing as top destination for Chinese outbound travellers. Photo Credit: Adobe Stock/Iurii Seleznev

Chinese tourism recovery may not have come back as fast as anticipated in the initial reopening months, but the country is now advancing much swifter than neighbouring Japan, revealed the latest air ticketing data by travel data and insights firm ForwardKeys.

Four weeks after the initial lifting of travel restrictions, both countries showed similar levels of outbound travel recovery, at approximately 15% of pre-pandemic levels.

However, in the subsequent months, a disparity emerged. By the 21st to 28th week mark, after restrictions were lifted, China's outbound travel nearly reached 49% of its 2019 figures. In contrast, Japan only managed to recover to around 27% of the previous year's numbers during the equivalent period.

28 weeks later, who is recovering faster in travel?
Photo Credit: ForwardKeys actual air tickets data

During Q3, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) stands out by claiming the no. 1 position among the 10 most resilient destinations for China outbound travel, with an impressive 6% growth compared to the levels seen in 2019.

“The UAE is an approved group tour destination. It maintains a robust relationship with China through its active participation in the 'One Belt One Road' initiative. In the context of post-pandemic recovery, Chinese airlines have played a pivotal role by contributing significantly to the restoration of flight capacity to the UAE, with seat availability almost matching the levels observed before the pandemic,” says China Market Analyst, Nan Dai from ForwardKeys.

Additionally, the UAE extends the convenience of visa-on-arrival options for Chinese travellers, a feature of considerable value, particularly given the extended visa application process that exists during the ongoing pandemic period. These factors collectively reinforce the UAE's appeal as a resilient and accommodating destination for Chinese tourists, offering a seamless and accessible travel experience.

For these same reasons, Southeast Asia has emerged as the favoured destination region for Chinese travellers, “primarily due to its increased accessibility through numerous flights and relatively relaxed visa restrictions”, adds Dai.

The UK and Australia are emerging as prominent long-haul markets, showcasing notable recovery trends, which ForwardKeys attributes to a substantial rise in bookings from international students who typically plan their trips to return to school in August and September.

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