Responsible TourismBad economic conditions resulting in lower travel spends are delaying recovery.

Business travel won't fully recover until 2026

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The 2022 GBTA Business Travel Index attribute inflation, energy prices, supply chain challenges, labor shortages, and regional developments for delay in recovery forecast.
The 2022 GBTA Business Travel Index attribute inflation, energy prices, supply chain challenges, labor shortages, and regional developments for delay in recovery forecast. Photo Credit: GettyImages/Paul Bradbury

Recent headwinds are pushing recovery of global business travel spending into 2026 – nearly two years later than predicted last November.

The outlook comes from the Global Business Travel Association in its 2022 GBTA Business Travel Index, released today at the GBTA Convention in San Diego.

Last fall GBTA said spending would surge this year and return to 2019 levels of US$1.4 trillion in 2024.

Now the association says that while many Covid-related conditions have improved, macroeconomic woes including inflation, high energy prices, supply chain challenges and labor shortages are impacting the “timing, trajectory and pace of business travel’s recovery, both globally and by regions.”

“To understand the headwinds that have been impacting a more accelerated recovery for global business travel, all you have to do is look at the news headlines since the beginning of 2022.

The factors impacting many industries around the world are also anticipated to impact global business travel recovery into 2025. The forecasted result is we’ll get close, but we won’t reach and exceed 2019’s pre-pandemic levels until 2026,” says Suzanne Neufang, CEO of GBTA.

Total spending on business travel globally was $697 billion in 2021, 5.5% above the pandemic-era low in 2020. By 2025 GBTA estimates it will reach US$1.39 trillion – nearly the level of 2019 – and reach US$1.47 trillion in mid-2026.

Source: PhocusWire

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